Pre-tourney Rankings
Ivy League
2014-15


Rank Team Tourney Chance Exp Seed Record Conf Record Projected Record Projected Conf Record Predictive Rating Offense Defense Pace EPR Conference EPR
89 Yale 0.0%   20 - 10 11 - 3 20 - 10 11 - 3 +5.1      +2.5 89 +2.5 89 61.4 290 +5.2 91 +6.4 2
94 Harvard 100.0%   13   20 - 7 11 - 3 20 - 7 11 - 3 +4.7      +2.3 94 +2.3 94 60.2 309 +6.7 77 +6.5 1
156 Princeton 0.0%   15 - 14 9 - 5 15 - 14 9 - 5 +0.5      +0.2 156 +0.2 156 66.2 171 -1.0 183 +3.0 3
169 Columbia 0.0%   12 - 15 5 - 9 12 - 15 5 - 9 -0.3      -0.1 169 -0.1 169 57.6 339 -2.6 211 -4.3 6
172 Dartmouth 0.0%   14 - 14 7 - 7 14 - 14 7 - 7 -0.5      -0.3 172 -0.3 172 62.1 275 -1.5 194 -0.6 4
210 Cornell 0.0%   12 - 17 5 - 9 12 - 17 5 - 9 -2.3      -1.1 210 -1.1 210 66.7 160 -3.1 224 -4.0 5
258 Brown 0.0%   11 - 18 4 - 10 11 - 18 4 - 10 -5.3      -2.7 258 -2.7 258 73.4 31 -4.4 244 -5.4 8
280 Penn 0.0%   9 - 19 4 - 10 9 - 19 4 - 10 -6.3      -3.2 280 -3.2 280 64.3 229 -5.3 254 -5.3 7





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Conference Finish

Team Avg
Place		 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th 7th 8th
Yale 1.0 100.0
Harvard 1.0 100.0
Princeton 3.0 100.0
Columbia 5.0 100.0
Dartmouth 4.0 100.0
Cornell 5.0 100.0
Brown 7.0 100.0
Penn 7.0 100.0




Projected Conference Wins

Team Avg Record 0-14 1-13 2-12 3-11 4-10 5-9 6-8 7-7 8-6 9-5 10-4 11-3 12-2 13-1 14-0
Yale 11 - 3 100.0
Harvard 11 - 3 100.0
Princeton 9 - 5 100.0
Columbia 5 - 9 100.0
Dartmouth 7 - 7 100.0
Cornell 5 - 9 100.0
Brown 4 - 10 100.0
Penn 4 - 10 100.0




Projected Conference Champion

Team Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
Yale 100.0% 100.0
Harvard 100.0% 100.0
Princeton
Columbia
Dartmouth
Cornell
Brown
Penn


NCAA Tournament Selection

TeamTourney BidAutoAt-LargeExp Seed 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
Yale 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%
Harvard 100.0% 100.0% 0.0% 13   0.2 24.8 73.1 1.9
Princeton 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Columbia 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Dartmouth 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Cornell 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Brown 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Penn 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%



NCAA Tournament Simulation

TeamTourney
Bid		First
Four		First
Round		Second
Round		Sweet
Sixteen		Elite
Eight		Final
Four		Final
Game		Champion
Yale 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Harvard 100.0% 0.0% 100.0% 18.0% 4.4% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Princeton 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Columbia 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Dartmouth 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Cornell 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Brown 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Penn 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%



Number of Teams
One or MoreAvg # 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Tourney Bid 100.0% 1.0 100.0 0.0
1st Round 100.0% 1.0 100.0
2nd Round 18.0% 0.2 82.0 18.0
Sweet Sixteen 4.4% 0.0 95.6 4.4
Elite Eight 0.3% 0.0 99.7 0.3
Final Four 0.1% 0.0 99.9 0.1
Final Game 0.0% 0.0 100.0
Champion 0.0% 0.0 100.0